A miracle technology arrives. Early suppliers earn real profits because supply is short. Demand looks bottomless, which is obvious to everyone in the early numbers. The demand and profits pull in capital and competitors. Everyone builds at once, even those who see the glut coming, locking in commitments at scarcity prices just to get capacity online. Supply arrives, the technology gets better, and prices collapse. Capital loses, consumers win, and the technology chugs on.

— Packy McCormick
underscored
@underscored·November 11, 2026