AI is a mirror, not a crystal ball. It reflects ourselves back to us because it was trained on our words. When we wonder why it's boring or corporate, it's because we're boring and corporate!
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watts and wafers, the two physical constraints that in Gavin's view will dictate the next phase of AI
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the two physical constraints that in Gavin's view will dictate the next phase of AI. On power, he thinks the near-term shortage starts to ease in 2027 and 2028 as new sources of energy come online, and that orbital compute solves it in the long term. On wafers, he explains what is different this time from the dotcom bubble and why TSMC's capacity decisions may be the single most important variable to watch.
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