The US is going to be consuming a lot more natural gas going forward, and the infrastructure to deliver that gas is going to be a bottleneck. You're going to need more pipelines, more LNG export terminals, more storage. The question is whether the capital investment can keep up with the demand growth.
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Risk means more things can happen than will happen. The practical definition of risk is not volatility or a standard deviation — it's the possibility of permanent loss of capital. Volatility is opportunity dressed in frightening clothes.
Howard Marks — The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
The record of a money manager who merely stays close to the market is not an outstanding record—it is a record of someone who has successfully rationalized doing nothing. The question is not whether you beat the market, but whether you had the intellectual honesty to know when you had no edge and the discipline to act accordingly.
Seth Klarman — Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor
There is a potential '2008 real estate' analogy in AI infrastructure. Hyperscalers and neo-clouds have built data centers based on promises of future compute purchases, creating a credit-like structure tied to tenants whose long-term profitability is uncertain.
Bryce Elder