From the release of GPT-4 to the end of the METR measure, the amount of work AI could do doubled eight times. In 2024, an AI could do a four minute task. At the moment I turned in my draft of Co-Existence in April of 2026, an AI could do 17 hours of human work.
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Writers, designers, actors, coders, musicians, thinkers — they're all worried about being replaced by machines. But what if the A.I.s are actually here to help?
Freakonomics Radio
You're paying more than minimum wage, but you're not paying anything close to the actual value of that data for the company because now that data is getting used to train this army of robots that's going to stick around forever. The companies want to get the data of how to do that job. And once they've gotten that, they don't need you anymore.
The New York Times
closing that loop still doesn't guarantee runaway "takeoff," and why measuring real progress requires accounting for both capability gains and the resources required to achieve them.
The a16z Show