underscored

@underscored

50 clips · 1 follower

Follow
Tag:competitive-advantageClear

The best CEOs I know are teachers, and at the core of what they teach is strategy. Most companies deteriorate because they compromise on one or two key strategic choices under competitive pressure. A business that stands for something specific — and refuses to stand for everything — is a business that can actually win.

— Andy Grove, Only the Paranoid Survive (1996)
1w ago

The single greatest edge an investor can have is a long-term orientation. Most of the competition is focused on the next quarter; if you can honestly say you don't care about the next three years, you've already eliminated most of your rivals before the game begins.

2w ago
oneusefulthing.org
The Overhang

The capability overhang, the gap between what these models can do and what almost anyone is doing with them, is an opportunity because most people don't bring their own advantages to AI, and those who do get much more out of it. That is why I think we will need to focus on the individual traits we have that remain useful even as AI abilities improve. You are not trying to compete with AI in producing outputs, that is a losing game.

2w ago

The best business returns are usually achieved by companies that are doing something that it's relatively easy to do, but that has a moat around it — and the moat is usually not a patent, it's usually a network effect or a cost advantage or something that's very hard to replicate.

3w ago

The key to investing is not assessing how much an industry is going to affect society, or how much it will grow, but rather determining the competitive advantage of any given company and, above all, the durability of that advantage. The products or services that have wide, sustainable moats around them are the ones that deliver rewards to investors.

1mo ago

The single greatest edge an investor can have is a long-term orientation that other investors are structurally unable to adopt. Most institutions are prisoners of their own quarterly reporting cycles, which means patience itself is a source of alpha — not intelligence, not information.

1mo ago

"Anyone who has PMF [product market fit] has it for max six to 12 months, and is required to continuously keep releasing bangers," Ding argues. "Versus before, you could have dominance for three to five years, and rely on that."

1mo ago

The difference between a good business and a great one is that a great one makes it hard to compete against it. A good one merely makes it hard to make money. The best business is one where you can keep repricing upward without losing customers—that's when you know you own something real.

1mo ago

The best business returns are usually achieved by companies that are doing something that is quite easy to understand. The trick is getting first to a strong market position and then exploiting the advantages that follow. What you want is a natural franchise. A company can have a perfectly marvelous product and still be in a lousy business.

2mo ago

Investors often make the mistake of confusing a exciting industry with a profitable one. The trick is not to find industries that are growing fast, but to find companies that can keep competitors from eating their lunch.

2mo ago

The single greatest edge an investor can have is a long-term orientation that other investors are structurally unable to match. Most investors are forced by their mandates, their clients, or their own psychology to think in quarters. If you can genuinely think in decades, you are not playing the same game they are.

2mo ago

Consumers, conditioned by heavy promotion and by habit, did not bolt even as prices of some of their favorite soaps and cereals increased by 5% or 8% a year. And so profits increased much faster than that. Heinz's earnings climbed by an average of 13% a year during the past decade, Clorox's by 15%. Their shareholders and owners reaped a treasure.

2mo ago

The real version is more useful to you as an investor: the single most capable model Anthropic has ever released to the public was considered serious enough that a government reached for emergency export controls — and it's now sitting in the same app you already use.

3mo ago

The best business returns are usually achieved by companies that are doing something quite similar today to what they were doing five or ten years ago. That is no accident.

3mo ago

A world where models are interchangeable is one where models are commodities, while most of the value flows elsewhere. Right now that's compute, but in the fullness of time, whenever we have enough compute, the most valuable place to be in the value chain will be the place that has always been the most valuable: owning the user touchpoint.

3mo ago

The biggest moat a business can have is not technology, not patents, not brand — it's the accumulated trust of customers who would feel genuine loss if you disappeared. Trust is the only asset that appreciates purely through use and deteriorates purely through neglect.

3mo ago

The greatest competitive advantage in business is a long time horizon. Almost all of the gains in any market come from people willing to wait longer than everyone else is willing to wait, and almost nobody is structurally set up to do that.

4mo ago

In the Electric Era, maintaining design leadership without manufacturing leadership is not a coherent strategic position, and one that gets less coherent the better you believe AI will get.

4mo ago

The best business is one where you can raise prices without losing customers. The second-best business is one where you can raise prices and gain customers.

4mo ago

The best business to be in is one where you can raise prices without losing customers, and yet few businesses qualify. Most businesses are competitive enough that if they raise prices, they lose significant volume.

4mo ago

While Google and Anthropic have executed well in their Generative AI efforts, OpenAI has fumbled their priorities while losing considerable marketshare over the last year.

4mo ago

The difference between a good business and a bad business is that a good business throws off cash and requires little capital to grow, while a bad business requires lots of capital and doesn't throw off much cash.

5mo ago

There is so much noise in venture today, that actually leading with original thoughts can have a competitive advantage. We want other, larger platforms to view Worldbuild as a tastemaker for where they should be spending time six months, or 12 months from today.

5mo ago

The best investment is in yourself. But once you've bought yourself, you need to think about what produces the best return on that investment. And the answer is usually a business where you have some advantage—whether it's a better mousetrap, or better access, or better understanding of the customer.

5mo ago

Amazon, more than any other company, actually operates with decade-long timeframes, consistently making real-world investments at massive scale that (1) convert their marginal costs into capital costs and (2) gain leverage on those capital costs by selling them to other businesses.

5mo ago

Amazon — whether through vision or good fortune — was positioning itself well for a world defined by inference (given that their inference chip is called "Trainium", I'm going with a little bit of column A and a little bit of column B).

5mo ago
ai-supremacy.com
The Landowners of AI

What's becoming more clear is that hyperscalers are the true landowners of AI. They are the custodians and the ones that benefit directly from the demand for compute in more Cloud computing and digital Advertising revenue.

5mo ago

Azure had a real competitive advantage thanks to being the only hyperscaler able to offer OpenAI models, but this also hindered OpenAI, particularly once it became clear that many enterprises cared first and foremost about accessing models on their current cloud of choice; I've been noting for a while that this was a real competitive advantage for Anthropic.

5mo ago

Unlike OpenAI, where Cursor really shines is in product innovation. You can feel the difference in talent. Cursor has recently transitioned from being an AI-enhanced code editor to what they describe as an "Agent-First Interface."

5mo ago

The best way to think about the future is not by projecting the past, but by understanding what is actually changing in the world and which businesses benefit from that change versus which ones get hurt by it.

5mo ago

The key to understanding and analyzing tech has been appreciating the implications of zero marginal costs, which govern the economics of everything from chips to software to services. AI services generally fall under the same rubric — fixed costs in terms of data centers and chips matter more than marginal costs (mostly electricity) — but the worsening shortage in compute means it is opportunity costs that matter more than ever.

5mo ago

The best investment is in yourself, but the second-best is often in businesses where you can understand what they do and where they're going better than the market does.

5mo ago

The difference between a business that compounds and one that doesn't is often not the talent of the founder, but the defensibility of the moat—and most founders underestimate how much time it takes to build one.

5mo ago

The best thing a company can do is compound capital efficiently over decades. But the second-best thing is to be so boring that people forget to worry about you.

5mo ago

However, a point I make on Sharp Tech is that Anthropic's exponential growth includes the part of the curve everyone misses: the company has been on this once-barely-visible trajectory for nearly two years now. Now the company has what is undoubtedly the most powerful model in the world, so powerful, in fact, that Anthropic says it can't release it publicly. There's reason for cynicism, given Anthropic's history, but the part of the "Boy Cries Wolf" myth everyone forgets is that the wolf did come in the end.

6mo ago

The difference between a mediocre business and a great business is that the great business finds a way to do the same thing at 1/10th the cost. Most people focus on revenue growth; they should focus on unit economics.

6mo ago

Parks & Cruises is putting up these numbers while being only a ~1/3 of Disney's $94B revenue. The division is floating Disney's entire transition from dying cable TV assets to streaming….which has been a bumpy ride.

6mo ago
notboring.co
Bad Analogies

There are a million little details that made Bezos' plan work, all of which, and the connections between them, were taken into consideration. Get to scale category-by-category, starting with the ones best suited to the internet, build an unmatched distribution and logistics network, drive down prices and delivery times, get more scale, grow the distribution network, drive down prices, make the "divinely discontent" customers discontent with anything slower or more expensive than what they'd come to expect with Amazon, get them hooked on Prime, paying a subscription and ordering more, keep pressing the advantage, grow FCF per share.

6mo ago

For decades after the fact, conventional wisdom was that Microsoft's modular approach — the one that let me build my own computers — was unquestionably superior to Apple's integration of hardware and software. In fact, it was Apple's integration that kept the company afloat.

6mo ago
whyisthisinteresting
The Dead Cinderella Edition

The truth is, the structure that made most Cinderellas possible was one that trapped unpaid athletes at their schools. Those teams were usually stocked with older players, who had a cohesive system and playing style.

6mo ago

What's hard is making it cheap enough to compete with drilling a hole in the ground. Terraform's bet is that plummeting solar costs will get them there, and their qualified electrolyzer stack (under $100/kW) and full-scale reactor suggest they're heading in the right direction.

6mo ago

Underscored — save the words that stop you in your tracks.

Start saving quotes →