Basically, none of these groups thinks that any amount of AI capabilities will enable economic take-off. To me, that suggests that they're thinking — perhaps subconsciously — about something more than just friction and slow adoption. One possibility — which I should write about more — is that people suspect that humanity is getting satisfied, at least in the developed countries, and that the amount of new valuable things that even a godlike AI could create for us is limited by our inability to desire more goods and services.
