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Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean. Unconventional behavior is the only road to superior investment results, but it isn't for everyone. Uncomfortably idiosyncratic positions can result in short-term performance that is worse than the market or peers.

Seth Klarman, Margin of Safety (1991)
6h ago

The best time to buy is when there's blood in the streets. The second best time is when everyone else is buying.

1w ago

The best way to think about the future is to invent it. People are often afraid to bet on radical change, so the market systematically underestimates how much the world can improve.

1w ago

The best ideas are often dangerous ideas. You're not supposed to think them. And if you do, you're not supposed to say them. But the truth doesn't care about your comfort.

4w ago

The best time to buy is when there's blood in the streets. The best time to sell is when there's irrational exuberance. Most people do the opposite.

1mo ago

The best investment is in yourself. But the second-best investment is often in things that are so obvious and so important that nobody is paying attention to them because everyone assumes someone else is handling it.

1mo ago

Most of them are hidden from view in the stagnant mainstream culture of our time, where tired formulas and AI slop prevail. These are the real deal, and give me reason for optimism about the future of our music culture.

2mo ago

At the time, though, with Japan at its zenith, it was easy to make Vogel-like predictions of continued domination, and it was out of vogue to be a contrarian like Emmott. The same is true of China today.

2mo ago

The size of the opportunity is inversely proportional to how many people think it's an opportunity. If everyone believes something is a great opportunity, then by the time you get there, it's probably not.

2mo ago

Underscored — save the words that stop you in your tracks.

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