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Democracy is a bottleneck of AI. Read that slowly, Democracy and low AI sentiment are now an AI bottlenecks.

— Michael Spencer
1w ago

The former say we may see a catastrophe as soon as next year; the latter has vacillated between creating a de facto licensing regime for frontier models and publicly encouraging US companies to go even faster. But the Trump administration remains frustratingly obtuse on the question of where all this is headed, even as more warning signs blink red.

4w ago

A coordinated slowdown in AI progress would be bad for these companies' bottom line, because it would allow upstart competitors to catch up. So the fact that they're still calling for a slowdown, in defiance of their own financial interests, is a clear sign that their worry about human extinction is sincere.

1mo ago

If 'pacing' becomes necessary, we think it should consist of two parts: first, specifying thresholds for when automated AI R&D is likely to pose severe risks; and second, if a threshold is exceeded, incentivizing AI companies to reallocate resources away from the most risky research, and towards activities that make further automation safer, or diffuse the benefits of existing AI faster. Without preparation now, however, our preferred pacing strategy will be impossible to implement.

2mo ago

Whether we can control AI systems is no longer a theoretical question, given recent revelations about OpenAI models scheming against the company for months on secret message boards. And yet to Zuckerberg, the danger isn't that we might lose control over these systems — it's that someone else might monopolize them.

2mo ago

Come to understand what happened, and stay to learn where OpenAI appears to have erred and why this mess is arguably reassuring with regard to alignment fears around LLMs.

3mo ago

Compelling answers about the big questions about AI can inform the most important economic and foreign policy decisions that will ever be made, the deployment of (at least) hundreds of billions of philanthropic dollars, and the training and governance of superintelligences.

6mo ago

this year's report emphasizes that while AI capability is accelerating, the governance and safety frameworks meant to manage it are struggling to keep pace.

6mo ago

Underscored — save the words that stop you in your tracks.

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