underscored

@underscored

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The reference forecast has as its core assumption of a relatively limited conflict that gets resolved in the second half of the year and then with energy prices that are normalizing in that second half of the year and into next year. Very clearly, with every day that passes, where we don't have a resolution, where the flow of oil and gas is more limited through the Strait of Hormuz, we're moving away from that scenario.

Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
3w ago

The CEOs are more convinced than ever that powerful intelligence will arrive within the next few years. The public increasingly believes them — and is appalled by the implications. It seems strange to suggest that, amidst accelerating breakthroughs in AI model performance, everyone needs to calm down.

4w ago

Paul Collins began documenting deaths that occurred in clothing donation bins, whose designs are hostile and can be lethal, depending on the interaction.

1mo ago

Why on Earth would you make something that you thought had a 25% chance of wiping out your entire species? Or even a 5% chance? I don't know about you, but to me that sounds like a pretty stupid thing to do!

1mo ago

We shouldn't seek to quell AI anxiety, we should embrace and analyze it. The truth is, the U.S. labor market is in serious trouble, and it has little to do with AI so far.

1mo ago

Underscored — save the words that stop you in your tracks.

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