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The big question about artificial intelligence is not whether machines can think, but whether humans will stop thinking and let the machines do it for them.

— Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway Annual Meeting Q&A (2017)
1d ago
lennysnewsletter.com
🎙️ How I AI: HTML is the new Markdown: How Anthropic engineers are building with Claude Code

Engineers are becoming "compute allocators" rather than code writers. When Claude can run for eight hours on a single task, you're really deciding how to spend $500 of compute. The critical skill is no longer writing code; it's deciding what's worth building, defining the boundaries of what you need to know, and staying in sync with the agent throughout the process.

1d ago

The best thing you can do is compound money at high rates of return for a long time. That's the game. Most people don't understand that the biggest returns come from sitting, not trading.

2d ago
noahpinion.blog
Dating advice for men

A lot of men — maybe even most men — get emotionally attached to our sex partners. There are well-known natural mechanisms for this. For those guys, going through one woman after another, again and again, for years and years, is just making and breaking those attachments again and again. That's not fun, that's self-punishment.

3d ago

The best investment is in the business that compounds the fastest while requiring the least capital to do so. Most people focus on the numerator and ignore the denominator.

3d ago

The true paradox of human existence is that we are condemned to be free; we are forced to choose, and yet there is no certain ground on which to base our choices.

4d ago
themarginalian.org
In Praise of the Useless: Bertrand Russell’s Salve for Hard Times

Perhaps the most important advantage of "useless" knowledge is that it promotes a contemplative habit of mind. There is in the world too much readiness, not only for action without adequate previous reflection, but also for some sort of action on occasions on which wisdom would counsel inaction… For my part, I think action is best when it emerges from a profound apprehension of the universe and human destiny, not from some wildly passionate impulse of romantic but disproportioned self-assertion.

5d ago

The best way to think about the future is not by extrapolating the past, but by understanding what's actually changing and what isn't.

6d ago

The best way to get smart is to try to be a little smarter than you were the day before. But the way to get rich is to try to be a little richer than you were the day before.

1w ago
honest-broker.com
Rick Beato Versus the NY Times

I assumed that I was voting for the songwriters who would be included in the list. But I now see that the experts consulted by the Times only got to make nominations. The final 30 names were chosen by six New York Times music critics. There never was a real vote.

1w ago

The best way to think about the future is not by extrapolating the past, but by understanding incentive structures and what they reward. Most people get this backwards.

1w ago

We are not thinking of the future as we should be. We think of it as if it were a place we are going to, when in fact it is a place we are making.

1w ago

The investing world is full of 'smart' people. But intelligence is not the limiting factor. The limiting factor is temperament. You need the temperament to be able to think and act independently.

1w ago

The difference between a competent person and an incompetent one is often that the competent person has made all the mistakes that can be made in their field.

1w ago
longreads.com
ISpyForGood

When I started paying my own rent and utilities, I frequently lied to the landlord and the gas company, saying the check was on its way when it wasn't. I didn't believe that scamming, or any illicit activity, even if done correctly, could ever be fruitful enough to get me or anyone else out of poverty—though it could easily attract the police or people of ill intent, who would make life worse.

1w ago

The great thing about the public markets is that they give you a daily opportunity to think about what your business is worth. The terrible thing about it is that you can act on it.

1w ago

We accept the verdict of the past until the need for change cries out loudly enough to force upon us a choice between the comforts of inertia and the necessity of action.

1w ago

The mind of a thoroughly well-informed man is a dreadful thing. It is like a bazaar overcrowded with all sorts of goods, each clamoring for attention.

1w ago
3quarksdaily.com
Maladaptive frugality

I realized I could either continue to drain myself for a small expense, or let it go and focus on the projects in front of me. I had, unknowingly, engaged in maladaptive frugality.

1w ago

The investor of today does not profit from yesterday's growth. You must study where the world is heading, not where it has been. Most people are heavily invested in the past.

1w ago

We accept the verdict of the past until the need for change cries out loudly enough to force upon us a choice between the comforts of further compliance and the discomforts of further change.

1w ago
fs.blog
Winston Weinberg: Speed, Stress, and Better Decisions

why judgment becomes more valuable as routine work gets automated, and how to build the prioritization muscle required to move faster, stay focused, and make better decisions when everything is changing.

1w ago
platformer.news
The Trump administration's AI doomer moment

Less than a year later, the administration's sneering dismissal of safety concerns has transformed into something that resembles a mild panic.

2w ago

The best decisions come from understanding what you don't know. Most people spend their time trying to be right about what they think they know, when they should be figuring out what they're wrong about.

2w ago
whyisthisinteresting
The Disclosure Edition

The conversation has moved from "Are they real?" to something much harder: what does a government actually do with this information? Disclosure, and then what…? Governments exist to maintain order, provide security, and project control. An admission that objects of unknown origin, operating on physics we don't understand, and interested in our most dangerous technology have been flying around our airspace for the last 80 years doesn't fit neatly into any of those functions.

2w ago

The difference between a competent person and an incompetent one is often that the competent person has learned how to recognize and avoid the standard modes of self-deception.

2w ago

The difference between a wise decision and a foolish one is often not apparent until years later. What matters is the quality of your thinking at the time, not whether you got lucky.

2w ago

The mind of a thoroughly well-informed man is a dreadful thing. It is like a bazaar overcrowded with cheap wares, all of them perhaps useful or insignificant, jostling against each other and preventing the customer from getting what he really needs.

2w ago

The best armor is to keep out of cannon shot.

2w ago

The difference between investment success and mediocrity is often not intelligence—it's the ability to do nothing when nothing should be done. Most investors feel compelled to act, when the great fortunes are made by inaction.

2w ago

The best time to think about the exit is before you start the company. If you don't know why you're building something or what success looks like, you'll never achieve it.

2w ago

The best way to think about the future is not by extrapolating the past, but by understanding what wants to happen and then asking yourself, 'Am I going to help it happen, or am I going to hinder it?'

2w ago
lennysnewsletter.com
Your Couch-to-5K for AI

When people say they want to do something but are too busy, there is almost always something else standing in their way. This is the root of procrastination. At its core, you are waiting for some external force to change—like your endless to-do list magically disappearing, or your calendar suddenly opening up—rather than making a change in your actions, which is hard.

3w ago

The best way to think about the future is not by extrapolating the past, but by understanding the incentive structures and constraints that will shape decisions.

3w ago

The primary cause of failure in leadership is that men do not think enough. They trust to their memories and their passions, and act from them, when they ought to consult their understandings.

3w ago

The best investment is in yourself. But the second-best is almost always in a business that does something you understand, run by people you trust, at a price that makes sense.

3w ago
dwarkesh.com
Blog prize for the big questions about AI

Compelling answers about the big questions about AI can inform the most important economic and foreign policy decisions that will ever be made, the deployment of (at least) hundreds of billions of philanthropic dollars, and the training and governance of superintelligences.

3w ago

The best way to think about the future is not by extrapolating the past, but by understanding what must be true about the future and then figuring out how we get there.

3w ago
honest-broker.com
Why I Believe in Karma

It was amazing that a tactic so simple could defeat more sophisticated strategies. It suggested that there was something inherently powerful in reciprocity. Just as the proverb predicts: As you sow, so shall you reap.

3w ago
3quarksdaily.com
How uncertainty-tolerant are you?

worry is not driven by any specific fear, such as the fear that you might lose your job or a loved one may fall ill. Instead, they proposed, worry is driven by the inability to tolerate uncertainty itself.

3w ago

The best ideas have some magical quality where one day they seem impossible, and the next day they seem inevitable. The hard part is being in the room when the transition happens.

3w ago

Underscored — save the words that stop you in your tracks.

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