ftav

It's quiet. Too quiet

But it is hard to find much sign that it is doing so. And Gillian Tett: [I]nvestors need to get better at imagining — and pricing — once-unimaginable disasters. This is hard. No business school teaches students how to model something like a presidential threat to wipe out a civilisation.

wired.com

Conflicting Rulings Leave Anthropic in ‘Supply-Chain Risk’ Limbo

A US appeals court ruling is at odds with a separate, lower court decision from March, leaving uncertainty about if and how the US military can use the AI company's Claude model.

stratechery.com

2026.14: Apple, Acceleration, and AI

This wasn't just a podcast about Apple, but about how tech has changed over the last fifty years, and why AI makes even the most reliable narrators of history increasingly uncertain about the future.

asteriskmag.com

Merchants of Certainty

We can't predict the full impact of climate change. Why did the climate movement stop pushing the world to accept this fact and start trying to deny it?

noahpinion.blog

The future isn't what it used to be

The future is a blank wall of fog, rushing toward us at top speed, and nobody knows what to do.

ftav

Oil markets are not prediction markets

Price volatility is a measure of how difficult it is at any given moment to suppress the knowledge that no one knows anything.

upstartsmedia.com

A Startup's Guide To The Anthropic Vs. Pentagon Showdown

We think it's an unfortunate bind to be in, and it creates a lot of uncertainty on how to proceed in leveraging Anthropic. Some of our customers are in the same bind as well.