ftav

A Huge Ever Growing Pulsating IPO That Rules from the Centre of the Elonverse

Corporate survival usually means transmogrification, but, as a mature business with added moonshots, SpaceX might be different. SpaceX is not going to flame out like Webvan, presumably, but after that, we've no idea. Neither do you. Neither does Elon Musk.

asteriskmag.com

Boarding China’s Last Bus

for a population that lived through the mass layoffs of the 1990s, optimism and fear can look identical from the outside.

themarginalian.org

How Do We Know What We Want: Milan Kundera on the Central Ambivalences of Life and Love

We can never know what to want, because, living only one life, we can neither compare it with our previous lives nor perfect it in our lives to come. We live everything as it comes, without warning, like an actor going on cold.

themarginalian.org

The Wildest Bet Is the Winning Bet

We place life's bets by countless calculations of probability, conscious and unconscious, only to discover over and over how short they fall of the wildest reaches of the possible, which always includes but exceeds the probable. It helps to remember that we ourselves are children of improbability, that everything we treasure exists not because it had to, not because it was likely or necessary, but because the universe took a gamble against the staggering odds otherwise.

ftav

It's quiet. Too quiet

But it is hard to find much sign that it is doing so. And Gillian Tett: [I]nvestors need to get better at imagining — and pricing — once-unimaginable disasters. This is hard. No business school teaches students how to model something like a presidential threat to wipe out a civilisation.

wired.com

Conflicting Rulings Leave Anthropic in ‘Supply-Chain Risk’ Limbo

A US appeals court ruling is at odds with a separate, lower court decision from March, leaving uncertainty about if and how the US military can use the AI company's Claude model.

stratechery.com

2026.14: Apple, Acceleration, and AI

This wasn't just a podcast about Apple, but about how tech has changed over the last fifty years, and why AI makes even the most reliable narrators of history increasingly uncertain about the future.

asteriskmag.com

Merchants of Certainty

We can't predict the full impact of climate change. Why did the climate movement stop pushing the world to accept this fact and start trying to deny it?

noahpinion.blog

The future isn't what it used to be

The future is a blank wall of fog, rushing toward us at top speed, and nobody knows what to do.

ftav

Oil markets are not prediction markets

Price volatility is a measure of how difficult it is at any given moment to suppress the knowledge that no one knows anything.

upstartsmedia.com

A Startup's Guide To The Anthropic Vs. Pentagon Showdown

We think it's an unfortunate bind to be in, and it creates a lot of uncertainty on how to proceed in leveraging Anthropic. Some of our customers are in the same bind as well.