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Raymond Plank founded Apache Corporation with just $250,000 in 1954. 50 years later his company was worth $50 billion.

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4h ago

I think the thing I keep coming back to is that intelligence and energy are the two fundamental inputs to the universe, and if we have basically unlimited intelligence, we can hopefully also get to basically unlimited energy. And then, from those two things, you can just make so much.

1d ago

The economic system of the world is roughly a zero-sum battle for existing resources, and the story of the next hundred years is making the transition to a world where there's enough for everyone and we're no longer fighting each other for pieces of a very slowly growing pie. I think there's a chance that AI and cheap energy together create a qualitatively different world where we have enough resources that it's not a zero-sum game anymore.

2d ago

I think most people alive today could, in expectation, live to be 150 years old. I think we could have far more energy than we can possibly use. I think we could have radical abundance of food and all material goods. And if we do that, and if we give people the tools to understand the world and affect the world that they want, I think we'll have a lot less conflict.

4d ago

I think we may be approaching a moment where most physical goods become quite cheap. The reason for that is if you have abundant clean energy and you have robots that can do most of the tasks, then physical goods get very cheap. And then the question is what do you do with your time, and do you have good social systems in place?

5d ago

The thing that I keep coming back to is that intelligence and energy are the two inputs to wealth creation. And we have, in AI, a way to potentially radically expand the amount of intelligence available to humanity. If we can do that, and if we can find a way to get cheap, abundant energy, I think the world looks totally different in 20 to 30 years than most people are imagining.

6d ago

AI is not just a software story but a demand shock that will ripple through energy, manufacturing, construction, and global supply chains.

1mo ago

AI's capex boom is the second largest share of use GDP in history. bigger than the railroads, second only to the I think the Louisiana purchase... unlike past tech booms, Facebook, Instagram, Door Dash, it's fundamentally a supply side story about making chips, building data centers, and powering them. It's money creating demand for energy, not the reverse.

2mo ago
Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Gavin Baker - Watts and Wafers - [Invest Like the Best, EP.473]

the two physical constraints that in Gavin's view will dictate the next phase of AI. On power, he thinks the near-term shortage starts to ease in 2027 and 2028 as new sources of energy come online, and that orbital compute solves it in the long term. On wafers, he explains what is different this time from the dotcom bubble and why TSMC's capacity decisions may be the single most important variable to watch.

2mo ago

With the US more than 50 years behind China in critical mineral supply and grid infrastructure built on systems designed a century ago, they examine where the real bottlenecks are and how to move faster.

2mo ago

As the battlefield becomes more distributed and electronics-heavy, the Army's legacy power infrastructure, built around diesel generators and lead-acid batteries, is struggling to keep up.

4mo ago

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