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Tag:energyClear

It's not that war causes interest rates to go up. It's war causes energy shortages which causes inflation and inflation bleeds into everything. So pain at the pump turns into I need a raise for this. I need to raise prices on food. I need to raise prices on all sorts of things. Energy is of course a key input into everything.

Diet TBPN
4d ago

If you were to put a dollar of gasoline in your car, only around 20 cents of that actually go towards turning the wheels and getting you from A to B. 80% of that is completely wasted as heat and friction and stuff that's actually not serving you or giving you what you need. With electrification, that's basically flipped.

3w ago

I think we're at an inflection point where the thing that's going to matter the most is the cost of intelligence and the cost of energy, and I think both of those are going to come down dramatically. And if you can make intelligence and energy cheap and abundant, then I think all other scarcity starts to dissolve.

1mo ago

I think we are at the very beginning of a transition to a world where intelligence and energy are not the limiting reagents anymore. And if you just think about what humans could do if those were both cheap and abundant, I don't think the world has ever experienced anything like that before.

1mo ago

I don't think you can kind of underestimate the value of that experience going into a new venture. So we in our first business, we were part of the team at Flick Electric, which was a cool Wellington energy retail startup, and we built our own retail business, so we got to know what it took to actually be a retailer. We've done it ourselves.

1mo ago

The thing that I sort of think about a lot is that the history of human progress is really the history of energy and intelligence. If you think about what gets better over time, what increases quality of life, it comes down to how much energy and intelligence we have access to. And we seem to be on the cusp of not running short of either of those things.

1mo ago

I think the thing I keep coming back to is that intelligence and energy are the two fundamental inputs to the universe, and if we have basically unlimited intelligence, we can hopefully also get to basically unlimited energy. And then, from those two things, you can just make so much.

1mo ago

The economic system of the world is roughly a zero-sum battle for existing resources, and the story of the next hundred years is making the transition to a world where there's enough for everyone and we're no longer fighting each other for pieces of a very slowly growing pie. I think there's a chance that AI and cheap energy together create a qualitatively different world where we have enough resources that it's not a zero-sum game anymore.

1mo ago

I think most people alive today could, in expectation, live to be 150 years old. I think we could have far more energy than we can possibly use. I think we could have radical abundance of food and all material goods. And if we do that, and if we give people the tools to understand the world and affect the world that they want, I think we'll have a lot less conflict.

1mo ago

I think we may be approaching a moment where most physical goods become quite cheap. The reason for that is if you have abundant clean energy and you have robots that can do most of the tasks, then physical goods get very cheap. And then the question is what do you do with your time, and do you have good social systems in place?

1mo ago

The thing that I keep coming back to is that intelligence and energy are the two inputs to wealth creation. And we have, in AI, a way to potentially radically expand the amount of intelligence available to humanity. If we can do that, and if we can find a way to get cheap, abundant energy, I think the world looks totally different in 20 to 30 years than most people are imagining.

1mo ago

AI is not just a software story but a demand shock that will ripple through energy, manufacturing, construction, and global supply chains.

3mo ago

AI's capex boom is the second largest share of use GDP in history. bigger than the railroads, second only to the I think the Louisiana purchase... unlike past tech booms, Facebook, Instagram, Door Dash, it's fundamentally a supply side story about making chips, building data centers, and powering them. It's money creating demand for energy, not the reverse.

3mo ago
Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy
Gavin Baker - Watts and Wafers - [Invest Like the Best, EP.473]

the two physical constraints that in Gavin's view will dictate the next phase of AI. On power, he thinks the near-term shortage starts to ease in 2027 and 2028 as new sources of energy come online, and that orbital compute solves it in the long term. On wafers, he explains what is different this time from the dotcom bubble and why TSMC's capacity decisions may be the single most important variable to watch.

4mo ago

With the US more than 50 years behind China in critical mineral supply and grid infrastructure built on systems designed a century ago, they examine where the real bottlenecks are and how to move faster.

4mo ago

As the battlefield becomes more distributed and electronics-heavy, the Army's legacy power infrastructure, built around diesel generators and lead-acid batteries, is struggling to keep up.

5mo ago

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