Decoder with Nilay Patel

Why the current tech backlash feels different

Software engineering is verifiable, you can run it through the compiler and see if it works. AI has obviously gotten really good at making software. If you believe the world is just software, that means AI has gotten good, it's done. You can see the labs are talking about how they've achieved AGI or they will very soon and it is very much connected to the ability of AI to write software. I'm just not discounting that that's important. I'm just saying once you get outside of software, verifiability gets way harder.

Decoder with Nilay Patel

Why the current tech backlash feels different

Lots of companies are just databases. Software engineering is verifiable, you can run it through the compiler and see if it works. AI has obviously gotten really good at making software. If you believe the world is just software, that means AI has gotten good, it's done. You can see the labs are talking about how they've achieved AGI or they will very soon and it is very much connected to the ability of AI to write software. I'm just not discounting that that's important. I'm just saying once you get outside of software, verifiability gets way harder.

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It's always with these new releases, it's interesting what makes you feel the AGI or not. Uh, realistically, Frontier Math tier 4, I think they scored 99% on that. Uh, terminal bench science 0.1, they're just numbers to me. like they they they don't do anything for me emotionally because I don't have any grounding in how hard those particular things are and also I sort of I sort of assume the computers are good at math

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Sam Altman - How to Make an Abundant Future - [Invest Like the Best, EP.484]

I think the most important thing that I believe that most people don't is that we will be able to build an AI that can do nearly anything a brilliant human scientist or engineer can do, and we'll be able to run a huge number of those simultaneously, and they will work all the time, and soon after that we'll be able to run systems that are much smarter than any human. And the consequence of that is that we can potentially compress the next hundred years of scientific progress into maybe a decade.

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The whole point of arc AGI is that a human should be able to get 100% on it and basically any human. So it is a true test of AGI in this sense of you know can you give this test to just actually anyone not you know the the the the crazy math projects the crazy hard programming projects the hacking all of that stuff is very economically valuable of course but there's a more interesting question where you know when there's less of a spiky frontier and there's just this question of what is something that anybody can do that AI can't

Decoder with Nilay Patel

Microsoft AI chief thinks superintelligence is near, but won't take your job

I mean, superintelligence is coming. I think it's just around the corner. And so I think it's going to be basically the most valuable technology of all time. There's sort of no way that, long-term, we could be structurally dependent on a third party for providing that IP for all eternity.

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Palantir's AIPCon 10, Ramp Hits $44B, 60 Minutes Eyes Rogan | Diet TBPN

You don't need to get to AGI super intelligence god you can just have a really powerful tool that creates a new problem