I think we may be approaching a moment where many instances of AI are out there working autonomously for long periods of time, and that's when I think the world will really start to change in a way that people will notice, because you'll just see the pace of scientific discovery, economic growth, all of these things, start to accelerate.
I think we're approaching a moment where many instances of AI could be running, doing the work of the economy, doing scientific research. I think most people wildly underestimate how significant that would be. We would, in a short amount of time, compress decades of scientific progress.
I think we may be approaching a moment where many instances of AI are out there doing scientific research full time, and the cumulative effect of that could be that we compress decades of scientific progress into just a few years. AI agents that can run experiments and think about what to do next and look at data and say what we should try and the next time could fundamentally change the rate of scientific progress.
I think the most important thing that I believe that most people don't is that we will be able to build an AI that can do nearly anything a brilliant human scientist or engineer can do, and we'll be able to run a huge number of those simultaneously, and they will work all the time, and soon after that we'll be able to run systems that are much smarter than any human. And the consequence of that is that we can potentially compress the next hundred years of scientific progress into maybe a decade.
1mo ago
Underscored — save the words that stop you in your tracks.
