I think that talking about curing diseases and new medicines we're going to be able to develop, all of that starts to become much more real when you have models that are at this level of assistance and capability. And I do think that there are going to be real changes to to think about in terms of we can have so much more ambition with the kinds of of challenges that we can hope to tackle now.
I think we may be approaching a moment where many instances of AI are out there working autonomously for long periods of time, and that's when I think the world will really start to change in a way that people will notice, because you'll just see the pace of scientific discovery, economic growth, all of these things, start to accelerate.
The thing that I keep coming back to is that I think we're at this remarkable moment where if you look at the charts of what AI can do — the capability curves — and you look at what still needs to happen for us to change the trajectory of the world in a really fundamental way, I think we're going to live to see scientific progress compress by 100x. I think we're going to see the standard of living for people go up dramatically. I think we're going to figure out how to make the things that matter — energy, food, healthcare, education — cheap and abundant.
2mo ago
Underscored — save the words that stop you in your tracks.