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If you allow a nuclear state to win a war against a non-nuclear state and you give in to nuclear blackmail and you keep saying as the Trump people do say, "Oh no, we're afraid of escalation, etc." Then you're encouraging that scenario and encouraging middle powers around the world to build nuclear weapons to defend themselves against the Russas and the China.

— The Prof G Pod
1w ago

Russia is systematically destroying the Ukrainian economy. Um it's making people's lives very hard. It's destroying their livelihoods. And I should add that this is our fault if we're Americans because it's American policy to deny Ukraine the missile defense that it needs.

1w ago
Radiolab
60 Words

We examine how just 60 words of legal language have blurred the line between war and peace.

2mo ago

when you look historically at operations that have focused on using air power, whether that's aircraft or missiles, to try to change the behavior of another state, that there's a lot of debate and little evidence that air power alone normally produces a durable political outcome and the one that the attacking state is looking to achieve, in part because a lot of nations have a deeper interest in the situation than the U.S. does.

2mo ago

It's almost like a child's idea of how power works. It's a you know a kind of elementary school vision of how you project power. You just bomb stuff and then you win. That is not how the United States became uh the world's most influential country and it's not how we achieve how we achieved good outcomes in the past.

2mo ago

Suddenly Ukraine isn't a victim, it's a provider of security. And And And it's a provider of security despite the fact that the US cut off supplies to Ukraine. I I believe hoping that you that meant that Ukraine would surrender.

2mo ago

This to me feels like we have the most expensive boomerang in history and that is we have essentially paid a ton of money and credibility in terms of US brand equity such that we could get a worse deal than we had with the JCPOA.

3mo ago

China's overall plan is to use technology, to use finance building infrastructure for countries in the developing world and then through these services that China gives to the developing world, China wants to bind these countries to it politically and use their agency to counterbalance the west.

3mo ago

I have no leverage. Trump is me in the Hungarian forest right now. Because he never bothered to consult Congress and offended them. Because he never even signed up or even briefed European allies. Because he did not in any way coordinate anything around intelligence around the Straits of Hormuz, getting expats out of the Gulf, figuring out putting in place the right defense mechanisms.

5mo ago

I would say all of this to me means that the rivalry has entered a new phase. The White House is talking about exploring measures to hold foreign actors accountable. That's the phrase they use for industrial scale distillation campaigns. To me, I think the important thing is that politically, geopolitically, this is a step change.

6mo ago

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