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the frightening possibility that AI's most powerful capabilities may arrive just as the Republic is least equipped to govern it

EconTalk
2d ago

Many pilots rely on self selected enthusiasts, vendor methodologies, and rough time saved calculations rather than robust measures of service quality or error rates.

1w ago

I have almost like this superstitious thing that if I were to actually do an elective surgery to look younger, I would immediately get, my cancer would come back, or I would get Parkinson's, or it's almost like, recently I was thinking about, my dad loved that ancient fable, Appointment in Samara.

1w ago

I think right now the crypto industry is to be honest is too transparent. It's actually extremely easy to track crypto funds. Um like the blockchain is a public ledger and then if you couple that with a a few centralized exchanges KYC information, you can track most of the transactions pretty accurately.

2w ago

When you're really kind of starving for accurate information uh you know out of out of both sides in terms of what is the condition of the straight of Hormuz uh how is it you know what what is the traffic look like? What is the potential for that to get back online? what is the the knock-on effect going to be for the global economy? all of these, you know, unanswered questions. Um, I think that just makes markets, uh, you know, a little bit more aggressive and volatile when you get any snippet of good news

3w ago

Billions of Saudi dollars were already reshaping the US economy. And now many of those tech companies are vulnerable as Iran targets their infrastructure in Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries in the ongoing war.

4w ago

By banning the export of chips to China, the cost to China of a Taiwan invasion decreases. And so if China can't access TSMC chips anyway, it's a lot less risky to go to war.

1mo ago

For everyone in London, whether you lived through the night was, therefore, a matter of luck. The odds were long, only one in 20,000 chances of being hit, said the papers. But still, every bomb landed somewhere. Each bomb might be that one. You couldn't know it wasn't till it hadn't fallen on you.

1mo ago

If you look at history, there's as much danger of an autocrat coming from the far left as from the far right. I believe the far left is as dangerous as the far right. It's the extremes that present a threat to society.

1mo ago

It's becoming increasingly untenable for prediction markets to sit in the middle of the tension between gambling on the news and trying to self-regulate such that they don't encourage insider trading.

1mo ago

if this war is extended if it if if we see um no offramp for for for the US and Israel and it has to continue and therefore that choke point stays closed. At some point we're going to see you're going to see a supply crunch and that's what that that's really the the major fear.

1mo ago

there are about 20 million barrels of oil that transit the straits of Hormuz every day. That's almost three times as much as Russia exports. So, you know, this is a problem three times as great as the problem that created the panic on global oil markets at the start of the Ukraine war.

1mo ago

this is a regime that um is essentially a death cult and doesn't have the same motivations as a normal regime has. They view the death of their own people, the martyrdom of their people as a sign of their own sacredness and righteousness.

1mo ago

Mortal danger was actually, I think, a core part of the appeal of the sport in those early days. These guys were gladiators. They were risking their life every time they got in a car.

1mo ago

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