I think we're approaching a moment where many instances of AI could be running, doing the work of the economy, doing scientific research. I think most people wildly underestimate how significant that would be. We would, in a short amount of time, compress decades of scientific progress.
I think we may be approaching a moment where many instances of AI are out there doing scientific research full time, and the cumulative effect of that could be that we compress decades of scientific progress into just a few years. AI agents that can run experiments and think about what to do next and look at data and say what we should try and the next time could fundamentally change the rate of scientific progress.
I think most people are not appreciating how different the next 10 to 20 years are going to be, maybe even the next five years. I think we're going to get systems that are going to basically be able to do the work of a country, many countries, at once. The amount of scientific progress that I expect in the next decade, I think, would shock most people.
I think we may be approaching a moment where many instances of AI are out running experiments, doing the work of scientists, and humanity could potentially compress decades of scientific progress into just a few years. We could run experiments to defeat diseases that have plagued us for millennia, independently develop and test solutions to mental health crises, and actively drive economic growth in a way that could lift billions out of poverty.
I think the most important thing that I believe that most people don't is that we will be able to build an AI that can do nearly anything a brilliant human scientist or engineer can do, and we'll be able to run a huge number of those simultaneously, and they will work all the time, and soon after that we'll be able to run systems that are much smarter than any human. And the consequence of that is that we can potentially compress the next hundred years of scientific progress into maybe a decade.
I think AI is going to be the most transformative technology in human history, and I think it will compress potentially 100 years of scientific progress into the next decade or so. I think it will defeat diseases that have plagued us forever. I think it will help lift many people out of poverty. I think it will dramatically increase the quality of life for most people on Earth.
1mo ago
Underscored — save the words that stop you in your tracks.
